A poll by the Ifop Institute for TF1, the French television channel, said Macron was set to beat his populist opponent in the second round by a narrow margin of 51% to 49%. The gap was within the margin of error, which means that there will be everything to play in a fortnight. A second poll, however, by the Ipsos Institute, found that Macron was on track for a more comfortable 54% to 46% result. • Lepen is spying on her chance to prove herself stronger than Macron’s status quo the findings