Pollster Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now predict a five percent turn from Tories to Labor in the May 5 local elections in England and Wales. If re-run in the general election, the figures suggest Labor will emerge as the largest party in Parliament, with 15 deputies out of a majority, and will likely rely on a power-sharing deal with the SNP to form a government. Poll companies asked about the voting intentions of more than 12,000 people in 201 regional and single councils between April 4th and April 8th. The sample was then weighted based on gender, age, social class, and previous electoral system. Electoral Calculus and Learn Now have found that the Tories are likely to lose 810 seats – with their seats dropping from 1,965 to 1,155 – while Labor will win 835, giving the party 3,722 seats. The Toris’s award-winning councils, including Wandsworth – a totemic authority for the party as an early adopter of Thatcher policies for town council sales and privatization of street cleaning and garbage collection – are expected to be taken by Labor.
